Castuner

Universal Basic Kalshi Guys

Evan Mandery

A team of long-time investors and social scientists navigate the prediction market with a focus on politics and the heuristic biases that derail most speculators.

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Odcinki

38 odcinków

  1. Who Will Be Time's Person of the Year? 47:14
  2. How will the world change if the Democrats sweep the House and Senate? 1:01:15
  3. Who Will Win the NBA Championship and MVP? 46:47
  4. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next governor of Ohio? 32:22
  5. Will Ilhan Omar Be Charged With a Federal Crime? 56:45
  6. Which Party Will Win the Senate and House? 51:42
  7. Will Donald Trump Invoke the Insurrection Act or Martial Law? (And other doomsday scenarios.) 56:44
  8. Who Will Win Big Brother? 48:42
  9. Will Yale Settle With the Trump Administration Over Law School Admissions 1:02:19
  10. The Summer of Learning: Sunk Cost Fallacy 32:13
  11. The Summer of Learning: Anchoring Bias 39:03
  12. The Summer of Learning: Perpetuals 25:55
  13. The Summer of Learning: An Introduction to Prediction Markets 37:21
  14. The "Donk" Controversy and the Nature of Reality in Prediction Markets 51:18
  15. Will There Be an US-Iran Nuclear Deal? 57:47
  16. Who Will Win the Maine Senate Race? 44:04
  17. Who Will Win the Texas Senate Race? 45:47
  18. The Epstein Files 40:19
  19. Who Will Win the NBA Finals? 35:48
  20. How Much Will Democracy Weaken Under Trump? 1:28:53
  21. Transgender Sports Bans 50:33
  22. An Early Look at the 2028 Republican Primary 50:26
  23. An Early Look at the 2028 Democratic Presidential Primary -- Part 2 59:47
  24. An Early Look at the 2028 Democratic Presidential Primary -- Part 1 1:19:44
  25. Do Your Politics Affect How You Bet? 40:03
  26. Will Donald Trump Run for a Third Term? 56:16
  27. Insider Trading in Plain Sight: Is Someone Cheating the Prediction Markets? 1:03:04
  28. Trump's Iran Ultimatum 34:43
  29. Who Will Trump Appoint to Replace Pam Bondi 41:17
  30. Trump & the Midterms: How Low Can Trump Go? 53:29
  31. Will the U.S. Confirm That Aliens Exist? 47:13
  32. Top 10 Value Plays for the Year 41:21
  33. Who Will Win The Bachelorette? 51:09
  34. Iran -- A War to Play 42:58
  35. Oscars Preview 2026 38:31
  36. UBK Guys v. SCOTUS 50:08
  37. Forecasting the Government Shutdown 44:15
  38. State of the Union 2026 49:44